The sprint toward the end of the regular season is here. That means we are on a fast track toward the Rookie of the Year and All-Rookie Team discussion (and decisions). At this point of the year, it would be unfair to say rookies are complete, but there are more answers than questions. Roles and minutes are established, expectations are understood, and it’s about experience continuing to guide impact.
What interests me is how people balance this Rookie of the Year race in particular. Cooper Flagg and Kon Knueppel have had incredible seasons, exchanging “the lead” over different parts of the season. What gets valued more: Knueppel’s metronome-like consistency or Flagg’s incredible growth? Is that contrast what makes the race more fun or more difficult? Who gets more credit for impact: Knueppel helping to impact Charlotte’s winning or Flagg handling a large responsibility and workload for Dallas’ offense?
Going down the list of rookies also brings a different thought exercise for me. How does a rookie’s full season get digested vs. how he is playing toward the end? How de we balance the shifts for Derik Queen and Jeremiah Fears, the assorted injuries that have been sprinkled in, the increased opportunity for Maxime Raynaud and Ace Bailey? It’s a challenge, but that’s mostly because of the high quality of play this class has displayed on a nightly basis.
For me, it speaks volumes when a rookie develops the ability to not just bring a level of consistency but finds ways to problem solve, to make the right plays, and to contribute to a team’s game plan.

1. Kon Knueppel, Hornets
The accolades continue to stack for Knueppel, who has been a lethal shooter, leading the NBA in 3-pointers made with 216 and setting the rookie record for 3-pointers made in a season. When you pull the curtain back behind the scoring and the shooting, his steady play has been a key piece in elevating the Hornets.
Knueppel can be used on-ball and off-ball. He opens up their spacing and keeps it moving, and his screening has been tough for defenses to solve. The Hornets can draw a set to use Knueppel as a screener, but it’s most lethal when he sets one randomly to keep defenses off balance. It’s just hard to argue with the base that Knueppel has provided all season long.
2. Cooper Flagg, Mavericks
An injury may have briefly shifted momentum at the top of the Rookie of the Year race, but there is plenty of time for Flagg to make an impression to close the season. It’s easy to forget that prior to his injury, Flagg had scored 27 or more points in five of six games, shooting 46.2% from 3 in four games in February and getting 10+ free-throw attempts in three of his last five contests. What that points out to me is the continued growth, confidence and command Flagg has shown this season.
Flagg has gone from not hesitating when attacking in pick-and-roll, to working to read and bend defenses. In pick-and-roll, if the defense is in a drop, he’s coming off the screen slowly, keeping his dribble alive to force the big to make a decision. If the defense jumps up to take away the (improved) 3, he’s going with an in-and-out to drive by you. He’s exploring his opportunity and then making the right read/play vs. the opposite that we saw early in the season.
3. VJ Edgecombe, 76ers
It’s easy to call Edgecombe a “distant third” when it comes to the Rookie of the Year race, but he should be recognized as more of a consistent third. His placing feels like more of a nod to the efforts of the top two than a discredit of what he’s done. Without Edgecombe’s consistency, how steady do we feel the Sixers ship would truly be?
Edgecombe’s transition attacks help the Sixers avoid a complete slog, but there’s a certain poise he’s developed throughout the year. In the half-court the numbers may not reflect the impact, but he’s unafraid to go with a drive or a pull-up depending on how the defense guards him. No matter the matchup, Edgecombe is consistently ready to attack.
4. Dylan Harper, Spurs
There’s a reason Harper was named Western Conference Rookie of the Month, and I promise it’s not just because Flagg got hurt. The Spurs have been at their best when their guard play has been consistent and strong, and Harper returned to form in February.
His drives per game went up from 6.2 a game in January to 8.5 in February. It may not feel like much, but Harper is at his best for the Spurs when he’s able to get downhill, get paint touches, finish or force help to create offense for San Antonio. The best part from Harper is the confidence remained after a tough stretch. He’s maintained as a threat for a Spurs team that is thriving in the Western Conference.
5. Derik Queen, Pelicans
There is now a thought bubble hovering around Queen’s rookie season: How do we process him getting moved to a bench role, still being effective but not being showcased in the same way? I’m waving all of the discourse of how they got him and what they gave up to get him, and respecting the efforts he has given for most of the season.
If there’s a concern beyond the minutes, it’s that the assist production has been sliced in half. He still has a craft on his drives that stands out, but it will be interesting to see how much of the reins the Pelicans are willing to give him offensively and how that can alter the balance of what he brings defensively.
6. Cedric Coward, Grizzlies
Coward has been unavailable for the Grizzlies more than they would want, but it’s hard to deny the fact that he’s been very good when available. Prior to getting hurt, he found his confidence shooting-wise, which adds a layer to how else he helps the Grizzlies offensively.
Being able to space is one thing, but to understand when and how to cut when spaced is huge especially with how the Grizzlies want to play. The key for Coward is to find a way to consistently use his blend of size, shooting, and ability to drive and cut offensively. That could and should uplift Memphis in this season of misery.
7. Maxime Raynaud, Kings
Raynaud has made the most of his extended opportunity with the Kings down the stretch, finding himself second among all rookies in rebounds. He was the first rookie in seven years to average 15+ points and 10+ rebounds on 60% shooting over a 10-game span and is first among all rookies in double-doubles.
He’s a strong rim runner in transition, but he’s really found his way in pick-and-roll with good footwork and a knack for staying in a guard’s vision to receive a pocket pass and finish. The Kings’ context may not be ideal, but Raynaud has done everything he can to show he can produce with the minutes he gets.
8. Jeremiah Fears, Pelicans
There is a confidence within Fears’ game that helps you appreciate his efforts while you wait on the shooting to hit a level that some would deem acceptable. He’s a tough bucket-getter, has been, always will be.
The key comes in watching what he builds on top of that: rejects in pick-and-roll to get the defense to commit to get to a kick in pick-and-roll; drive-and-kick and relocating to the perimeter to get a cleaner shot; being ready off-ball when spaced one pass away form a driver; mixing in more drives to try and turn the corner and finish in the paint. The trick is seeing what Fears is trying to do vs. what he knows he can do.
9. Collin Murray-Boyles, Raptors
CMB is the type of player whose impact can be forgotten or lost in the shuffle. The Raptors ask him to defend, play with energy and attack. And every time you see him on the court that’s exactly what he is doing.
The success the Raptors have found with CMB at the 5 speaks for itself and showcases his overall versatility. He can harass defenders on-ball and contain off-ball; there are few players you wouldn’t trust him to try to guard. Energy, impact and consistency has been the hallmark of CMB’s season.
10. Ace Bailey, Jazz
Bailey has found his comfort zone offensively within Utah’s system. His strengths have always been on the offensive end of the floor, but he’s found the opportunity to showcase it during this stretch.
The movement within Utah’s system opens up dribble handoffs or pindowns to allow him to get downhill. If there is no size, he’s willing to get in the paint. And if he has any space, he’s willing to let it fly. The talent was always there, but the consistency has finally arrived.
