NBA playoffs 2026: Odds for first-round series, play-in games

The 2025-26 NBA regular season has reached an exciting conclusion, with playoff and play-in tournament positioning coming down to the final Sunday.

The Detroit Pistons closed with the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference, while the Boston Celtics had an impressive regular season — most of which was played without Jayson Tatum as he recovered from an Achilles injury suffered in last year’s postseason — and finished with the second seed in the East.

Oklahoma City Thunder are the top seed in the West for the second straight season, two games ahead of Victor Wembanyama’s hard-charging San Antonio Spurs.

The Eastern Conference play-in tournament includes the surprise Charlotte Hornets, while the Golden State Warriors and Steph Curry find themselves as the No. 10 seed in the West.

Here are the odds for every NBA play-in game and the playoff series that we know so far.

Odds courtesy of BetMGM. This piece will be updated as more odds are released.

No. 1 Detroit Pistons vs. No. 8 TBD

No. 2 Boston Celtics vs. No. 7 TBD

No. 3 New York Knicks (-300) vs. No. 6 Atlanta Hawks (+240)

No. 4 Cleveland Cavaliers (-700) vs. No. 5 Toronto Raptors (+500)

Play-in games

No. 8 Orlando Magic at No. 7 Philadelphia 76ers (-1.5, 220.5)

No. 10 Miami Heat at No. 9 Charlotte Hornets (-5.5, 227.5)

No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder vs. No. 8 TBD

No. 2 San Antonio Spurs vs. No. 7 TBD

No. 3 Denver Nuggets (-350) vs. No. 6 Minnesota Timberwolves (+275)

No. 4 Los Angeles Lakers (+550) vs. No. 5 Houston Rockets (-800)

Play-in games

No. 8 Portland Trail Blazers at No. 7 Phoenix Suns (-4.5, 217.5)

No. 10 Golden State Warriors at No. 9 Los Angeles Clippers (-4.5, 219.5)

NBA Play-In Tournament 2026: Schedule, matchups, how it works

The 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament begins Tuesday, and will feature the teams that finish 7 through 10 in the East and West standings, with a chance to earn the final two playoff spots in each conference on the line. Let’s break it down:

  • (10) Heat vs. (9) Hornets, 7:30 p.m. ET

  • West 8th place (Clippers or Trail Blazers) vs. (7) Phoenix Suns, 10 p.m. ET

  • (8) Magic vs. (7) 76ers, 7:30 p.m. ET

  • (10) Golden State Warriors vs. West 9th place (Clippers or Trail Blazers), 10 p.m. ET

The winners of the 7-8 games advance to the playoffs as the No. 7 seeds; the losers will play again on Friday.

The winners of the 9-10 games will play again Friday for a shot at the No. 8 seeds; the losers will be eliminated.

  • Winner of Heat-Hornets vs. Loser of Magic-76ers, 7:30 p.m. ET

  • West team TBD vs. West Team TBD, 10 p.m. ET

The winners advance to the playoffs as the No. 8 seeds; the losers will be eliminated.

The current format of the play-in tournament was introduced during the 2020-21 season. Teams that finish 7 through 10 in the standings will participate in a two-round tournament for a shot at the playoffs as the seventh and eighth seeds.

From the NBA:

Each conference’s No. 7 team in the standings will host the No. 8 team. The winners secure the No. 7 seed in the playoffs. The losers will get another chance to earn a playoff spot.

Each conference’s No. 9 team in the standings will host the No. 10 team. The winners will advance to the final stage of the Play-In Tournament. The losers are eliminated.

The losers of the No. 7 vs. No. 8 matchups will host the winners of the No. 9 vs. No. 10 matchups. The winners secure the No. 8 seed in the NBA playoffs for its conference. The losing teams are eliminated.

The 2026 NBA Playoffs begin April 18.

2026 NBA playoff picture: Matchups, clinching scenarios, everything to know on the final day of regular season

The final day of the NBA’s regular season is upon us.

In the Eastern Conference, the guaranteed playoff berths are set, with the Toronto Raptors snagging the final spot and joining the Detroit Pistons, Boston Celtics, New York Knicks, Cleveland Cavaliers and Atlanta Hawks. The Philadelphia 76ers, Orlando Magic, Charlotte Hornets and Miami Heat will compete in the play-in tournament for the last two spots in the East playoffs.

Out West, most everything is settled, except for two key outcomes: The Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers are vying for the Nos. 3 and 4 seeds, while the Portland Trail Blazers and LA Clippers are jockeying for the Nos. 8 and 9 seeds.

Jump to:Eastern ConferenceWestern Conference


(1) Detroit Pistons vs. (8) play-in winner
(2) Boston Celtics vs. (7) play-In winner
(3) New York Knicks vs. (6) Atlanta Hawks
(4) Cleveland Cavaliers vs. (5) Toronto Raptors

(1) Oklahoma City Thunder vs. (8) play-In winner
(2) San Antonio Spurs vs. (7) play-In winner
(3) Denver Nuggets vs. (6) Minnesota Timberwolves
(4) Los Angeles Lakers vs. (5) Houston Rockets


(7) Philadelphia 76ers vs. (8) Orlando Magic
(9) Charlotte Hornets vs. (10) Miami Heat

(7) Phoenix Suns vs. (8) Portland Trail Blazers
(9) LA Clippers vs. (10) Golden State Warriors



Record: 60-22 | Net rating: 8.4 (3rd)

First-round opponent: The No. 8 seed (76ers, Magic, Hornets or Heat)

Record: 55-26 | Net rating: 8.3 (4th)

First-round opponent: The No. 7 seed (76ers or Magic)

Record: 53-29 | Net rating: 6.6 (5th)

First-round opponent: Hawks

Record: 52-30 | Net rating: 4.0 (9th)

First-round opponent: Raptors

Record: 46-36 | Net rating: 2.5 (12th)

First-round opponent: Cavaliers

Record: 46-36 | Net rating: 2.5 (11th)

First-round opponent: Knicks



How the play-in tournament works

Record: 45-37 | Net rating: -0.1 (18th)

Play-in opponent: Magic; will host the 7-8 game

Record: 45-37 | Net rating: 0.7 (17th)

Play-in opponent: 76ers

Record: 44-38 | Net rating: 4.8 (8th)

Play-in opponent: Heat; will host the 9-10 game

Record: 43-39 | Net rating: 1.8 (13th)

Play-in opponent: Hornets


The Thunder and Spurs have captured the Nos. 1 and 2 seeds, respectively.

The Rockets and Wolves are also respectively locked into the Nos. 5 and 6 seeds.

The Nuggets and Lakers will decide the Nos. 3 and 4 seeds on Sunday. Should Denver beat San Antonio or L.A. lose to Utah, the Nuggets will be the No. 3 seed. However, if the Lakers win and the Nuggets lose, L.A. will take over the No. 3 seed.

The Suns, Blazers, Clippers and Warriors will form the West’s play-in tournament field. In what order remains to be seen. The Suns and Warriors are locked into the Nos. 7 and 10 seeds, respectively. Should Portland beat Sacramento or LA lose to Golden State, the Blazers will be the No. 8 seed. On the other hand, if the Clippers win and the Blazers lose, LA will earn the No. 8 seed and two shots at a playoff bid.



Record: 64-17 | Net rating: 11.6 (1st)

  • Clinched No. 1 overall seed, Northwest Division title and home-court advantage throughout playoffs

  • Remaining schedule: PHX

What’s at stake: Will face No. 8 seed (Suns, Clippers, Trail Blazers or Warriors) after play-in tournament.

Record: 62-19 | Net rating: 8.6 (2nd)

  • Clinched No. 2 seed and Southwest Division title

  • Remaining schedule: DEN

What’s at stake: Will face No. 7 seed (Suns, Clippers or Trail Blazers) after play-in tournament.

Record: 51-30 | Net rating: 5.0 (7th)

  • Clinched No. 5 seed

  • Remaining schedule: MEM

What’s at stake: Will face No. 4 seed (Nuggets or Lakers) in the first round.

Record: 48-33 | Net rating: 3.1 (10th)

  • Locked into No. 6 seed

  • Remaining schedule: NOP

What’s at stake: Will face No. 3 seed (Nuggets or Lakers) in first round.



Record: 53-28 | Net rating: 5.1 (6th)

  • Clinched playoff berth; clinches No. 3 seed with win over Spurs or Lakers loss to Jazz

  • Loses head-to-head tiebreaker with Lakers

  • Magic number for No. 3 seed: 1

  • Remaining schedule: @SAS

  • Highest possible finish: No. 3 seed

  • Lowest possible finish: No. 4 seed

What’s at stake: The No. 3 seed and first-round matchup against the Timberwolves.

Record: 52-29 | Net rating: 0.9 (16th)

  • Clinched playoff berth and Pacific Division title; clinches No. 3 seed with win over Jazz and Nuggets loss to Spurs

  • Holds tiebreakers over Nuggets and Rockets

  • Magic number for No. 3 seed: Does not control own destiny

  • Remaining schedule: UTA

  • Highest possible finish: No. 3 seed

  • Lowest possible finish: No. 4 seed

What’s at stake: The No. 3 seed and first-round matchup against the Timberwolves.



Record: 44-37 | Net rating: 1.3 (14th)

  • Remaining schedule: @OKC

What’s at stake: Will face No. 8 seed (Clippers or Blazers) in first game of play-in tournament at 10 p.m. ET, Tuesday, April 14.

Record: 37-44 | Net rating: -0.4 (19th)

  • Remaining schedule: @LAC

What’s at stake: Will face No. 9 seed (Clippers or Blazers) in second game of play-in tournament at 10 p.m. ET, Wednesday, April 15.



Record: 41-40 | Net rating: -0.5 (20th)

  • Clinches No. 8 seed with win over Kings or Clippers loss to Warriors

  • Holds head-to-head tiebreaker over Clippers

  • Magic number for No. 8 seed: 1

  • Remaining schedule: SAC

  • Highest possible finish: No. 8 seed

  • Lowest possible finish: No. 9 seed

What’s at stake: The No. 8 seed and two chances to secure a playoff berth.

Record: 41-40 | Net rating: 1.1 (15th)

  • Clinches No. 8 seed with win over Warriors and Trail Blazers loss to Kings

  • Loses head-to-head tiebreaker with Trail Blazers

  • Magic number for No. 8 seed: Does not control own destiny

  • Remaining schedule: GSW

  • Highest possible finish: No. 8 seed

  • Lowest possible finish: No. 9 seed

What’s at stake: The No. 8 seed and two chances to secure a playoff berth.


NBA tanking tracker: The race to the draft lottery entering final day of regular season

Which teams have the best odds to land the No. 1 pick in the NBA Draft Lottery? Here’s everything you need to know.


Date: Sunday, May 10
Location: Chicago, Illinois


The 14 teams that don’t make the playoffs have a chance to land the No. 1 pick. The teams that finished with the three-worst records — Washington, Indiana and Brooklyn — each have the highest odds (14%) at winning the No. 1 pick.

Here are the odds for every team in the draft lottery, based on team records at the end of the regular season. Teams that finish the season with identical records will have their draft order determined by a random drawing.

Record: 17-65 | Streak: L-10

Current odds for No. 1 pick: 14%

What’s at stake: Clinched one of the three-worst records in the NBA to ensure the highest odds at the No. 1 pick. If the Wizards’ pick had fallen out of the top-8, it would have gone to the New York Knicks.

Record: 19-63 | Streak: L-2

Current odds for No. 1 pick: 14%

What’s at stake: Clinched one of the three-worst records in the NBA to ensure the highest odds at the No. 1 pick. Due to the Ivica Zubac trade with the Clippers, if the Pacers’ pick lands between the 5-9 spots on lotto night, it will go to L.A.

Record: 20-62 | Streak: L-3

Current odds for No. 1 pick: 14%

What’s at stake: Clinched one of the three-worst records in the NBA to ensure the highest odds at the No. 1 pick.

Record: 22-59 | Streak: W-1

  • Current odds for No. 1 pick: 11.5%

  • Remaining schedule: @POR

What’s at stake: Clinching the fourth-worst record in the NBA.

Record: 22-59 | Streak: W-1

  • Current odds for No. 1 pick: 11.5%

  • Remaining schedule: @LAL

What’s at stake: Clinching the fourth-worst record in the NBA. If the Jazz’s pick falls outside of the top-8, it will go to the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Record: 25-56 | Streak: L-7

  • Current odds for No. 1 pick: 8.3%

  • Remaining schedule: @HOU

What’s at stake: The Grizzlies can finish no higher than the sixth-best odds at the No. 1 pick.

Record: 25-56 | Streak: L-3

  • Current odds for No. 1 pick: 8.2%

  • Remaining schedule: @CHI

What’s at stake: The Mavs can finish no higher than the sixth-best odds at the No. 1 pick. The Mavs don’t control their future first-rounders from 2027-2030.

Record: 26-55 | Streak: L-1

  • Current odds for No. 1 pick: 6%

  • Remaining schedule: @MIN

What’s at stake: The Pelicans have no incentive to lose; they owe their unprotected first-round pick to the Atlanta Hawks.

Record: 31-50 | Streak: L-1

  • Current odds for No. 1 pick: 4.5%

Remaining schedule: @DAL

Record: 32-50 | Streak: L-1

  • Current odds for No. 1 pick: 3%

Record: 37-44 | Streak: L-2

  • Current odds for No. 1 pick: 2%

  • Remaining schedule: @LAC

What’s at stake: The Warriors are locked into the play-in tournament.

Record: 41-40 | Streak: L-2

  • Current odds for No. 1 pick: 1.5%

  • Remaining schedule: GSW

What’s at stake: The Clippers are locked into the play-in tournament.

Record: 43-39 | Streak: W-2

  • Current odds for No. 1 pick: 1%

What’s at stake: The Heat are locked into the play-in tournament.

Record: 44-38 | Streak: W-1

  • Current odds for No. 1 pick: 0.5%

What’s at stake: The Hornets are locked into the play-in tournament.


The draft lottery determines the order of the first 14 picks. It takes place in a private room with NBA officials, representatives of participating teams, select media and the accounting firm Ernst & Young, which oversees the drawings, in attendance.

For the drawings, 14 ping-pong balls (numbered 1 through 14) are dropped in a lottery machine. Before the lottery, 1,000 of a possible 1,001 combinations are assigned to the 14 participating lottery teams. A league representative randomly selects four balls, revealing a four-number combination.

From the NBA:

The drawing process occurs in the following manner: All 14 balls are placed in the lottery machine and they are mixed for 20 seconds, and then the first ball is removed. The remaining balls are mixed in the lottery machine for another 10 seconds, and then the second ball is drawn. There is a 10-second mix, and then the third ball is drawn. There is a 10-second mix, and then the fourth ball is drawn. The team that has been assigned that combination will receive the No. 1 pick. The same process is repeated with the same ping-pong balls and lottery machine for the second through fourth picks.

If the same team comes up more than once, the result is discarded and another four-ball combination is selected. Also, if the one unassigned combination is drawn, the result is discarded and the balls are drawn again.

After the first four picks are determined, the remaining picks are based on regular-season records, in reverse order.

Blue Jays place DH George Springer on injured list with toe fracture, call up Eloy Jiménez

Toronto Blue Jays designated hitter George Springer has been placed on the 10-day injured list, the team announced on Sunday.

He was taken out of Saturday’s game against the Minnesota Twins early after sustaining a left big toe fracture, according to the team.

In the third inning, Springer hit a foul ball that bounced off his left foot. He was removed from the Blue Jays’ lineup in the sixth inning and replaced by pinch hitter Myles Straw.

Prior to the injury, Springer was 0-for-1 with one walk and a run scored in the first inning, off a two-run homer from Daulton Varsho. Minnesota went on to win 7-4, scoring all seven runs in the third inning.

Blue Jays manager John Schneider told reporters after the game that he didn’t want Springer’s fractured toe to lead to other injuries.

“I don’t want a toe to compromise anything else, lower body or anything like that,” he said, via The Athletic. “He’s got one speed that he plays at, and I think we can weather the storm without him and other guys for now.”

It’s been a slow start this season for Springer, who is hitting .189/.283/.377 to start the year. He helped lead Toronto to a World Series appearance last year, taking home his third Silver Slugger in 2025 with a .309/.399/.560 triple-slash line, 32 home runs, 84 RBI and 18 stolen bases.

Ernie Clement replaced Springer as the Blue Jays’ leadoff hitter in Sunday’s lineup against the Twins.

Springer’s injury is the latest of several for Toronto, including catcher Alejandro Kirk (fractured thumb), outfielder Addison Barger (sprained left ankle) and pitcher Cody Ponce (torn ACL). Those missing players have been a factor in the Blue Jays’ 6-8 record thus far, placing them third in the AL East.

To replace Springer on the roster, the Blue Jays called up Eloy Jiménez from Triple-A Buffalo. Jiménez, 29, spent last year in the minors, beginning with the Tampa Bay Rays organization before Toronto signed him. In total, he hit .247/.326/.347 with three home runs and 30 RBI.

Mets reportedly calling up veteran reliever Craig Kimbrel

The New York Mets are calling up veteran reliever Craig Kimbrel, according to multiple reports. The team officially announced the move before Saturday’s game versus the Athletics.

Kimbrel, 37, signed a minor-league deal with the Mets for spring training. During Grapefruit League play, he allowed three runs and four hits in six innings with five strikeouts and five walks.

Concerns about his velocity and control kept Kimbrel off the Mets’ Opening Day roster. The right-hander could have opted to become a free agent but instead stayed with the Mets to build himself up at the team’s spring complex in Port St. Lucie, Florida.

Kimbrel made an appearance for the Mets’ Single-A affiliate on Tuesday and reached 94.2 mph with his fastball, which apparently compelled all sides to consider him ready. Adding him to the major-league roster will boost the value of Kimbrel’s contract up to $2.5 million.

The Mets’ bullpen has been effective early on, compiling a 2.85 ERA in 14 games. But with 43 strikeouts in 53 2/3 innings, perhaps the belief is that the relief corps needs more strikeout stuff behind closer Devin Williams.

“We continue to believe he can help us this year; he wants to help us,” said Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns, via SNY.

“We have a stable pen so far. We haven’t made a move, but eventually we will,” he added. “He’s certainly a candidate when we have an opportunity.”

Last season, Kimbrel appeared in 13 games for the Houston Astros and one for the Atlanta Braves. He totaled a 2.25 ERA with 17 strikeouts and seven walks in 12 innings.

For his career, Kimbrel has a 3.58 ERA with a strikeout rate of 14 batters per nine innings. With 440 career saves, he ranks fifth among MLB’s all-time leaders. Among active pitchers, he’s second to Kenley Jansen, currently with the Detroit Tigers at 478 career saves.

However, Kimbrel didn’t record a single save last season after earning 23 in each of the previous two seasons, one with the Philadelphia Phillies and the other with the Baltimore Orioles. That isn’t likely to change with Williams established as the Mets’ closer.

Where to watch Athletics vs. New York Mets: Live stream, start time, TV channel, odds for Saturday, April 11

The New York Mets (7-7), ranked third in the NL East, will host the Athletics (6-7), ranked third in the AL West, for the second game of their series. The Mets are favored with a -160 moneyline and a -1.5 spread. Starting pitchers are Jacob Lopez for the Athletics (0-1, 6.48 ERA) and Kodai Senga for the Mets (0-1, 3.09 ERA).

  • Date: Saturday, April 11

  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET / 1:10 p.m. PT

  • Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens, NY

  • TV Channels: SNY, NBCSCA

  • Live Stream:ESPN+, MLB.TV | Follow on Yahoo Sports

  • Athletics: 6-7 (third in AL West)

  • New York Mets: 7-7 (third in NL East)

  • Spread: New York Mets -1.5

  • Moneyline: New York Mets -160 (59.1%) / Athletics +135 (40.9%)

  • Over/Under: 7.5

Athletics: Jacob Lopez (0-1, ERA: 6.48, K: 6, WHIP: 2.28)

New York Mets: Kodai Senga (0-1, ERA: 3.09, K: 16, WHIP: 1.20)

Weather: 65°F at first pitch

Where to Watch Boston Red Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Live Stream, TV Channel for Saturday, April 11, 2026

The Boston Red Sox, ranked fifth in the AL East with a 4-9 record, face the St. Louis Cardinals, who are tied for first in the NL Central at 8-5. Boston’s Ranger Suarez (0-1, 8.64 ERA) will pitch against St. Louis’s Kyle Leahy (1-1, 5.40 ERA). Despite being the away team, Boston is favored with a -145 moneyline.

  • Boston Red Sox: 4-9 (fifth in AL East)

  • St. Louis Cardinals: 8-5 (tied for first in NL Central)

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox -1.5

  • Moneyline: St. Louis Cardinals +110 / Boston Red Sox -135

  • Over/Under: 8.0

Boston Red Sox: Ranger Suarez (0-1, ERA: 8.64, K: 5, WHIP: 1.92)

St. Louis Cardinals: Kyle Leahy (1-1, ERA: 5.40, K: 5, WHIP: 1.80)

Weather: 72°F at first pitch

Where to watch San Francisco Giants vs: Baltimore Orioles: Live stream, start time, TV channel, odds for Saturday, April 11

The San Francisco Giants (6-8), tied for fourth in the NL West, face the Baltimore Orioles (6-7), tied for second in the AL East, in the second game of their series. San Francisco is favored with a moneyline of -120, while Baltimore is at +100. Giants’ Logan Webb (1-1, 5.00 ERA) faces Orioles’ Chris Bassitt (0-2, 14.21 ERA).

  • Date: Saturday, April 11

  • Time: 7:15 p.m. ET / 4:15 p.m. PT

  • Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

  • TV Channels: FOX

  • Live Stream:ESPN+, MLB.TV | Follow on Yahoo Sports

  • San Francisco Giants: 6-8 (tied for fourth in NL West)

  • Baltimore Orioles: 6-7 (tied for second in AL East)

  • Spread: San Francisco Giants -1.5

  • Moneyline: Baltimore Orioles +100 (47.8%) / San Francisco Giants -120 (52.2%)

  • Over/Under: 7.5

San Francisco Giants: Logan Webb (1-1, ERA: 5.00, K: 15, WHIP: 1.39)

Baltimore Orioles: Chris Bassitt (0-2, ERA: 14.21, K: 3, WHIP: 2.84)

Weather: 66°F at first pitch

Amid celebration and farewell, Alex Ovechkin leaves retirement question unanswered: ‘I haven’t decided yet’

WASHINGTON, D.C. — The Pittsburgh Penguins wanted to say thank you, but Alexander Ovechkin just wanted to go home.

He laughed. They lingered. He insisted. They stayed. He waved them away, again and again. Eventually, Ovechkin’s longtime sporting nemeses relented, and the pack of white and black and yellow made its way down the tunnel and out of sight.

Ovechkin, the NHL’s all-time leading goal scorer, might be hanging up his skates this summer. He also might not be. Nobody, including the 40-year-old star, knows with any certainty. But with his hair graying, his body decaying and his contract expiring, the end is rapidly creeping up on an all-time great.

And so, just in case this was it, Washington hockey fans eschewed the glories of a picture-perfect April day and sardined themselves into Capital One Arena to say goodbye on Sunday. All throughout the final home game of the Capitals’ regular season, the sea of red chanted “ONE MORE YEAR” and “OVI, OVI” and roared themselves hoarse each time he touched the puck.

Towels featuring two decades’ worth of Ovechkin pictures and the phrase “Gr8ness” were draped on every seat. Multiple retrospective highlight reels were shown, including one covering Ovechkin’s storied relationship with fellow future Hall of Famer Sidney Crosby. Capitals center Dylan Strome purposefully got himself booted from the opening faceoff so Ovechkin and Crosby could square off.

Everybody under the roof was treating the afternoon like a well-earned goodbye.

Everybody, that is, except Ovechkin.

“I haven’t decided yet,” he said dryly about his impending decision, when asked why he declined Pittsburgh’s handshake line.

That’s Ovechkin’s right. He has earned as much and more. But that approach meant his potential final home game existed in a bizarre in-between. Opponents, teammates, fans and coaches wanted to celebrate the accomplishments of a sporting legend. They showered him with love and praise. Ovechkin, though, wanted little part of the party. He did not lace ‘em up on Sunday to bask in the adoration. In his mind, he’s still just another player, searching for two points, trying to keep Washington’s slim playoff hopes alive.

Fans, media, the adoring public, those on the outside, we want our sports narratives in neat, tidy boxes. We want farewell tours. Hollywood final hurrahs. Heart-tugging send-offs. Cheer-able heroes and boo-able villains. Clean, easy, digestible narratives. We want to know ahead of time how we’re going to feel.

But the real world is usually more complicated.

In the case of Ovechkin, that means everyone involved — those close to him and those in the nosebleeds — has been forced to thread a delicate needle, honoring him without disrespecting him.

“All these things are important to do,” Caps head coach Spencer Carbery said after his team’s 3-0 win. “Because if it is the end, we need to have been able to say goodbye and appreciate it. But he also looks at it like: ‘I haven’t decided yet.’

“That’s been, honestly, really, really challenging.”

Age be damned, Ovechkin still moves through life with a juvenile jubilance. He has sustained the eager, playful spirit with which he entered our sporting consciousness more than two decades ago. Before Sunday’s game, he spent at least a half-hour playing soccer keepie-uppie with his teammates in the bowels of the arena. At one point, he resorted to a game of rock-paper-scissors to keep his place in the circle.

But while he remains youthful, Ovechkin is no longer young. His body — battered and blasted by 21 years of crunching hits, slashing sticks, deflected pucks, heavy falls, late nights and long flights — must ache and rattle and rage. It has to, no matter how much he grits his teeth.

Early in his career, Ovechkin, asked how he felt after taking a puck to the ankle, famously proclaimed: “Russian machine never breaks.”

That statement proved prescient. It turned into a rallying cry, a mantra, a mission statement, a website, a championship. Ovechkin never broke, missing fewer than 60 games due to injury across his 21-year career. But Father Time, that cruel, cruel beast, spares no man. And so, it has become impossible to ignore that the machine called Alexander Ovechkin is running more slowly than it once did.

Because while the future Hall of Famer continues to be a productive scorer — he leads Washington with 32 goals this season — the rest of his game has dwindled alongside his athleticism. Ovechkin was always a magnificently powerful skater, a Ferrari with world-class handling and acceleration. Just 45 seconds into his first NHL game, he checked a Columbus Blue Jacket into the endboards with such force that a metal beam holding the glass in place came clattering to the ice.

Now he lumbers, calculatingly opportunistic, expending energy only when he absolutely needs to. Ovechkin spends most of his time lurking in the offensive zone, like a wily crocodile, until a worthwhile chance arises. He’ll dole out a hit or two but is generally a negative in front of his own net; he is the only player in the NHL who rarely starts possessions in the defensive zone. That puts Ovechkin somewhere between limited and liability. Uncomfortable as it might be to admit, next year’s Capitals — stacked to the gills with dynamic, young talent and thirsty for the cap space Ovechkin’s contract swallows up — might be a better team without him.

But while Ovechkin is no longer what he once was, he is still something and, in a way, something more. A return in 2026-27 would mean a full-blown farewell tour. Gifts in every city. Sold-out arenas. Photo opportunities. A season revolving around commemoration. All of it a massive moneymaker for the Capitals. But Ovechkin might not want or care about that. His record-breaking goal chase last spring probably scratched that itch.

Wayne Gretzky, the Great One, officially announced his retirement two days before the final game of the 1998-99 season. That allowed for a day of total celebration, coincidentally also a Sunday afternoon against the Pittsburgh Penguins. Gretzky wept. So did the sport. And then, as all games do with their heroes and haters and nobodys and icons, it moved on. Hockey continued, barrelling forward.

Soon it will do the same with Ovechkin, even if his farewell isn’t as storybook.

There was a time, earlier in his career, when this man needed hockey and hockey needed him. That has changed. Ovechkin is a mellower character now, a married man and the father of two. Long ago, with the Russian’s help, hockey lifted itself out of a post-lockout lurch and passed the torch to the next generation — to the McDavids, the Hugheses and the Celebrinis.

Ovechkin and the sport will survive, and even thrive, without each other. They already have been.

All that’s left for Ovechkin to do is go home.