Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2023

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Franklin, located over the east-central Caribbean Sea, on
Tropical Storm Harold, located inland over south Texas, and has
issued the final advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Gert, located a
few hundred miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles
west of the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a tropical wave.
Environmental conditions now appear only marginally conducive for
gradual development of this system, but a tropical depression could
still form later this week or over the weekend while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward across the eastern and central
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
The remnants of former Tropical Storm Emily are located over the
central tropical Atlantic several hundred miles east-northeast of
the Leeward Islands. Although development is unlikely in the next
day or so due to unfavorable environmental conditions, some
development is possible by Friday or Saturday when the system moves
northward over the subtropical central Atlantic. The system should
move north of the Gulf Stream on Sunday where further development is
not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.

Forecaster Papin/R. Zelinsky